When will the current economic bubble pop?
When will the current economic bubble pop?
October
I don't know. I can't see the future. The problem is that certain monetary institutions think they know and are probably going to fuck things up in the long term because of that.
next june.
Probably somewhere along the lines of return to normal.
We already had years of huge rallies and dipped quite a bit February and Brexit, but managed to return to "normal", although we cannot simply explain the current situation with this chart because of central bank intervention.
The SP500 at 2500 would bring us to 2008 levels with inflation and average growth factored in, but given that productivity growth is below historical means, we could already be approaching highs before a recession.
I'd say 2200-2300 is our upper limit, and if it goes above such a level, be very afraid.
Personally, I'm pretty diversified and I'm long term oriented, also fetching international stock at bargain levels, so I don't really care but if you have large US exposure, I'd be careful.
Diversify towards other regions, and keep some bonds in your portfolio too.
September
The 13th day of the 12th month of the 11th year after you stop being a faggot.
Never.
some months before the american election, á la 2008
Trump wins
Government lets all their stilts under the elephant economy go, crash happens no more than a month after inauguration, blame president because he absolutely had any power and did all of this.
Think GM with who's her name, but whether or not we climb back up is out of sight.
If this graph was the word of God®, media attention was 2015, and we've kept climbing up since, we are appx. between delusion and paradigim