Luck

So, is luck a major factor in history? Just to name an example
>Muhammad creating islam
>People actually follow it instead of keep being christian-jew-pagan
>The islam army strikes just in time after the last roman-persian war takes place

Yes.
>Mongols invade Japan
>fleet is destroyed by typhoon, invasion fails
>Mongols invade Japan again
>fleet is destroyed by another typhoon

Those are the plans of God. Which 'are' history.

Sure.
Like Drusus.

This guy, the younger brother of Tiberius, was a competent general and the favourite of Augustus as a successor.
He died from an accidental fall off his horse, as he was busy conquering Germania.

Had he survived, Varus would maybe not have been given the opportunity to ruin everything, Tiberius would not have become a bitter uncaring emperor, the Germans would have been slowly romanized, and the early Roman empire would not have installed it's bloody wasteful and decadent traditions. The Limes would have been shortened into a defensible border, the huns invasion would have been stopped, the German migrations would not have happened... The empire would have survived for a thousand years, literacy and trade and urban life would not have collapsed and European culture would have steadily grown into a beautiful thing.

But all this didn't happen, because this guy fell from his horse.

In November 1939, Hitler and his close associates escaped a well-planned assassination attempt.

He had a speech planned at the beer hall where he attempted his putsch years before.
Someone planted a timed bomb. It was well made and blew up the building right on time...
But Hitler had left the place 13 minutes before. He had decided to finish his speech early to take a train back to Berlin, instead of the scheduled plane, because the weather had gotten bad.

the horse of doom
the fucker knew the entire time

>Muhammad creating islam
He didn't create it, God gave him Islam through Gabriel the angel.

What's fun is that in Roman times, they were proud to call themselves luck (as in Lucius Cornelius Sulla Felix) because luck meant favor by the gods.

Thats very far fetched

>Try to kill the archduke
>assassination fails spectacularly
>decide to go get a sandwich
>walking out
>Archdukes car is fucking stalled out 10 feet from you

>wat do

>A Serbian passing by offers to help fix his car
>He is polite and we'll spoken
>The Duke befriends him and Serbians get the political clout they wanted
This could have happened in another timeline

you could have not phoneposted in another timelines

So great men history?
Except loved it

...

why didnt jesus talk about him in the first place?

Of course. Christopher Columbus was a retard who thought the world was only half as big as everyone else, so he set sail for the other side of the Old World to prove them wrong and found the New World instead.

A massive factor.

>if a Russian gunner hadn't opened fire on British fishing boats out of Hull the British would have allowed the Russian fleet in 1905 to sail through the Suez instead of all the way around Africa leading to a potential victory at Tsushima and potentially staving off the Russian Revolutions

>Saxon plot to murder the leading Briton chiefs in the 5th century fails due to a defector leading to Britain remaining culturally Celtic down to the modern day

>Emperor Julian avoids getting killed and manages to impose serious checks on the rise of Christianity by living another decade, forestalling the end of paganism by centuries

>leading to a potential victory at Tsushima
it was bound to fail from the start
>Britain remaining culturally Celtic down to the modern day
what is 1066

>what is 1066
It altered the culture but didn't completely supplant it long term.

God does not play dice.

Then he likes to fuck with people

So you start up Sims and just watch it play itself?

That's not luck, that's horrifically poor intelligence of local weather patterns. See also: Caesar invading Britain.

He knows the future, maybe this was the best outcome of all those fucked Up timelines

>luck
It's more randomness and chaos.

Dozens of cults spring up all the time. Some become religions, some don't. Not because the are more true or right, but simply because that's what happens. Even if you don't tend to your garden, some plants will thrive.