A small digression from all the usual shilling and fudding. Can Veeky Forums solve finmath problmes?
Lets start out with something very basic:
It is Q4 2018, you head a small crypto research team: "calm bitch confidential". To the surprise of many, Lumen (XLM) is currently trading at $1.2. According to insider sources, Stellar is bound to announce a permanent partnership with IBM, PayPal and major banks at the next planned event. Forecast modelling shows you that XLM will reach ATH at $2 in case the new partnership status is confirmed at the next conference. However, a sell off to $0.8 is expected in case rumours turn out to be bullshit.
Assuming perfect pricing according to future EV, what is the probability (p) of permanent partnership between Stellar, IBM and banks as implied by your model?
Now user, don't be a faggot, I can hardly start with stochastic calculus when you haven't demonstrated any knowledge of the basics yet can I?
David Turner
The IBM partnership is already inked and done, you fud spreading sack of shit.
Mason Clark
Word.
Mason Howard
>implying the universe isn't deterministic it's as if you don't want to understand the true order of things and want to rely on the past to explain the future
Andrew Lewis
you can't model or forecast data about an arbitrary rumor's probability of being true.