1 and 2 will FUD the shit out of this. 3 will be skeptical. 4 and 5 will be keen to listen because what I'm about to tell you is undeniable truth: Bitcoin is treading on very thin ice. I will explain.
As of a few days ago it cost ~$6,200 to mine one bitcoin and the mining power is now rivaling the power consumption of the entire country of Argentina. (This is the 20th largest country by GDP in the world, just so we're clear we're not talking about some African shithole). This cost is only getting higher.
Upwards of 80% of the hashpower of bitcoin is centered in China. For all you noobs & basement dwellers i want to stress something: China is a COMMUNIST nation. Capitalism does not apply. They can shut down bitcoin mining for any number of reasons: namely excessive power consumption - which they have already started (scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/2126776/china-plans-curb-electricity-usage-drive-cryptocurrency)
Why does this matter? I'll tell you. If the current hashpower suddenly falls below 50% Bitcoin will enter what is called "chain death spiral". The remaining miners will not have enough hashpower to reach the next difficulty adjustment and this will create a domino effect - bitcoin miners will continue to drop off as bitcoin becomes unprofitable to mine, making the difficulty adjustment all that harder to obtain. It is a fatal flaw in bitcoin... the blockchain will grind to a halt. It won't matter if you have $100 million in BTC - you won't be able to move it.
If you think it can't happen, I refer you to this very board in mid Nov 2017 when BCASH nearly stole the show due the fact it was more profitable to mine. Biz was awash in wojaks and purists losing their fucking minds because BTC was nearly destroyed. Check the archives, and the hashpower graph here: cointelegraph.com/news/how-close-did-bitcoin-get-to-disastrous-chain-death-spiral . BTC was only saved by BCH's own difficulty readjustment. This went to show that miners only cared about the profit, not the tech.
Finally - a big chunk of that profit bitcoin miner make? It's from the transaction fees. The "lightning network" will not save bitcoin because it only subtracts from the miner's profits. Think about it - who are you paying those fees to? The fucking miners! If you take that source of revenue away, it makes them that much more likely to jump ship. Lightning is not the savior of bitcoin, it is the death knell.
Now watch the REEEEEEEEE's that follow this post. They'll call it bullshit, FUD, etc. But it remains an immutable truth. Invest wisely anons.
Owen Ramirez
whale here, buy BNT it's pumping today
Aaron Cook
And people will move on to ETH, and it's like nothing ever happened. Market dominance of BTC has been steadily declining anyway. Won t take long now
Sebastian Sanders
I don't disagree with this.
Jack Hernandez
“potential” scenario but not likely. I don’t think thats gonna happen for a multitude of reasona im not gonna explain in detail.
t. experienced guy
Jace Nelson
I don't hold any BTC but this epic death spiral thing is literal FUD. Miners just increase fees if block rewards reduce.
Nice just sold 100k , someone quickly comeback with a counter fud to buy back
Christopher Jackson
well, mr "experienced guy", you're wrong.
antiquated and unprofitable tech does not stand the test of time. never has, never will.
Cameron Brown
>OP is fake and gay
Parker Lee
These dubs confirm op is full of shit. 50k by end of the year
Luis Myers
OP is obviously new and i don't feel like wasting hours talking to a brick wall with massive Dunning Kruger effect going on.
basically, op is a faggot.
Brody Robinson
>miners increase fees >which means even less people are incentivized to use it
Are you stupid or what?
Mason Diaz
So my ETH will flip with BTC? That would be fucking great I am holding 40 ETH as a hedge and can't wait to retire soon
Tyler Rogers
Called it.
Keep this in mind objective investors. No legitimate counterarguments or evidence, just "OP is a faggot".
Wyatt Morales
>no dubs Try harded i really wanna buy back
Samuel Morales
It hasn't mattered so far. My point is it's not gonna cause a sudden sell pressure, BTC will rather just keep bleeding.
Robert Ortiz
I've been saying this for ages: BCH with 32MB blocks is X32 more energy efficient.
Chase Gutierrez
Oh look another guy on Veeky Forums thinks hes a prophet again. Move on nothing to see
Christopher Rogers
listen faggot, this shit is not new and has been beaten to death for years... you are a literal faggot.
Ethan Kelly
Difficulty of hash is adjusted according to network's computing power.
Josiah Gutierrez
No shit sherlock. Try reading the post again.
Jeremiah Wright
Hear me out you peace of shit you are not an special snowflake everyone has gone through those thoughts we have discussed it 8880292382 times on biz in the meanwhile btc keeps growing and and nobody really gives a shit anymore that is 2014 fud tier , what are you going to say next quantum computer will be the end of cryptos ? Because we've through that too
Pd you are a FAGGOT
Gavin Kelly
>keeps growing >34% dominance
tell me more
Grayson Johnson
Boomer detected tldr where’s the shill op where’s the FUD if you’re gonnna shitpost better have meme images not PowerPoint slides you stole from Stacy’s presentation on buttcorn
Hudson Sanchez
I think this board is filled with average IQ 15 year olds. Crypto used to be filled with smart guys interested in the math and the tech. Now it's a get rich quick scheme, that's why they don't like any criticism
Adam Reyes
Guess what markets don’t operate according to blocks of text but they do operate to shitty ms paint photoshops of the CEO’s head plastered onto Eminem with accompanying badly revised song lyrics
Julian Ramirez
The purists are filling up this thread, exactly as predicted. Those of you who are objective, take heed.
Benjamin Bell
Then we really should ask core if we can softfork to a POS algorithm without miner ;)
and every problem is solved
David Cook
BCH, user
Austin Clark
The faggots OP, not the purists. Learn the edgy cool kid le Veeky Forums culture lingo or to Reddit you return
Ayden Ross
Then we really should ask core if we can softfork to a POS algorithm without miner ;)
and every problem is solved
Matthew Torres
Coin that is staked, has no bottom !
Coin that is mined, has a bottom !
Jeremiah Russell
When is this expected to happen and does it make more sense to go ETH, BCH or USD?
LTC user, if BTC fails ETH will be #1 XRP #2 and LTC #3
BCH is slowly dien already, value didnt moved since October - during the biggest pumps we have seen since 2years
Samuel Brown
No true Scotsman. Kind of lame OP.
I think you should take into account that processing power speed and power doubles every two years.
Jeremiah Fisher
The normies will leave when world governments band together and shut down all exchanges and make crypto trading "illegal".
This will cause a market crash of epic proportions. Maybe we will still rise from the ashes
Charles Murphy
It's not. Chink miners have already started to leave the country.
Adrian Ortiz
>what is expected to happen
Bitcoin will die. BCH is just a "smarter" version of BTC. It will still suffer the same issues of BTC in the future. As will ETH.
POW has no future. The power requirements become absolutely enormous and unprofitable. It's end-game for all POW coins.
Brayden Diaz
This...they've already set up in Norway, Netherlands, Greenland. Places where energy is way cheap compared to the rest of the world.
But OP has a point. Miners are going to mine whatever coin is most profitable for them.
Chase Bennett
>china >communist Lol stopped reading there.
Isaac Nguyen
you can softfork every pow coin to like a POS coin.
so no pow coin will die otherwise we just change the algo and thats it.
John Stewart
They won't make it illegal. Too much money to be had and (((they))) already have started investing in it. zazzle.com/dragonchain
It will be regulated to hell and the barrier to entry made almost impossible.
Landon Brown
At worst this scenario is intriguing and at best you just gave me another reason to feel great about the future of ETH OP . muchas gracias
Xavier Hernandez
Energy is excessively cheap in China. Google it. Moving to another country only INCREASES cost. Which means the value of BTC must held higher to remain profitable.
But you all seem to forget - it's Wall St's game now. You wanted institutional money? You got it. Bitcoin is now another plaything for them.
Jordan Davis
At the very least ETH has a better shot at being the long run top dog than BTC does.
Hunter Perez
>in the news today
world's dumbest cunt posts on Veeky Forums
Nicholas Nelson
I see you conveniently skipped this If people gave a shit about slow or expensive transactions, BTC would have been dead for at least half a year. Instead of a sudden sell-off, slow&expensive transactions will just cause more people to go "fuck this shit" and move to other coins and fiat, and some new dumb fucks will come and replace them, but at a decreasing rate. This results in slow bleed, not some sudden epic crash.
Lincoln Robinson
You've talked about ETH and BTC. What do you think of Ripple?
Jeremiah Cook
I consider this a possibility. I've thought about it a lot, and I keep doubting my stance no matter what it is.
At the moment, I lean towards this being unlikely. I don't believe that the miners would execute this flippening (even though they can, and may even be planning to do so). I don't think they will do it because at this time, if they do that, bitcoins death will mean the death of crypto markets in general in the short term. In a few years, as cryptos become decoupled, and much more widely accepted, this becomes more likely I think.
I'd say Bitcoin is defintely as safe as any crypto currency this year, just not as profitable.
GLTA
Connor Hughes
It will hit an equalibrium my dude
Dominic Harris
I meant BCH instead of BTC
Thomas Lopez
how could china "shut down" bitcoin mining? how can it be policed?
Tyler Rogers
So what I read is "Go long on ETH"
Gotcha.
Adam Parker
Please tell me you're joking.
Nolan Rodriguez
>r/bitcoin
Brody Reed
5 here am I misunderstanding how mining works? I was under the impression that Bitcoin automatically adjusted the difficulty of mining to match the networks mining power.
Communist countries obviously hate a libertarian wet dream like crypto but even if China knocks the processing power to 1/5th of what it was can't the formula just ease the difficulty of finding blocks accordingly because if they can that makes Bitcoin mining significantly more profitable for all remaining miners since the same number of transactions will still be needed. Also if the difficulty can't be lowered then why would this lower the profits for remaining miners don't the rate they add to the blockchain remains the same and their blocks are now in higher demand meaning their fees can be raised if anything shouldn't they make more money?
I can see how transactions could be slowed by the death of Chinese mining and maybe that causes less people to use Bitcoin causing a death spiral but in short term wouldn't it be more profitable for the remaining miners?
Julian Wright
Join Discord server rD6XdKq
Angel Wood
Objective stock market vet here. Confirmation bias is the no1 enemy of investors. I made money on WS with braindead normie investors for years, mr market isn't even half as smart as many people think. Newer to crypto but can't be that different, probably worse. btc is a meme and you are right. I think it will trend back to 15k (if at all) again just to be shortsold again. It is poised to fall, it has less of a future each day. The more people understand about bitcoin the more they must see it's a meme if they are not category 1/2/3/5: >decentralized Who is Satoshi? Is he compromised, is he the chinese government in the end? >Ebbil banks don't hold btc, we people do Wrong. Drug dealers, human traffickers, weapon traffickers and the old elites evading taxes + China which bought into this many moons ago because stock markets had an investment crisis and people didn't know where to put all that cheap QE liquidity. >btc will heal the world btc is an ecological mess (see power consumption). If it was actually used by everybody it would probably consume 5x the power the earth can create just to ping pong some bits over the internet for horrendous fees via a congested network.
Reality is: If btc doesn't get cheaper it has no chance to survive. Even digibyte is more effective in moving money from exchange to exchange.
Samuel Roberts
Alt/Btc couplings are dying. As this market goes more mainstream we will soon see the crypto world re-valuated in USD and other major fiats. People are sick of being tied to something as volatile as BTC.
Andrew Cook
>This is how Bitcoin dies Coordinated attack on the entirety of the internet architecture. Entire global network goes down for a few months.
Trans-oceanic cables are cut as an act of war or sabotage.
Tyrone breaks into the building that happens to house a central server for an exchange to try and steal the bitcoins and ends up slamming it against the floor trying to get the coins out.
Wyatt Sanchez
>China is a COMMUNIST nation. Capitalism does not apply. It's not communist. And capitalism doesn't apply to USA and let alone EU either. All of them are mixed economies and nobody is hiding that.
Elijah Powell
Stopped reading after part one, cause if you can't get to the point in one post, then fuck you. Especially if you're bringing anything but the same old FUD.
Jose Cox
The place where it's posted doesn't matter as long as it's the logical truth, brainlet. I literally just googled it
Landon Brown
People like you are cancer. You very clearly don't know what you are talking about, but you go on like you do
Joseph Rivera
why don't you tell us where he's wrong then, and why
Samuel Perez
slowly, but were not even close to being there yet. Binance is the n1 exchange and its mostly btc pairings. WIll take atleast a year or 2 I think.
Nathan Thomas
Agreed...you haven't contributed anything to the thread except for personal attacks.
Nicholas Bailey
I think you're a little too old to be here.
Aaron Hill
i need an answer to this also
Wyatt Clark
You may like me or not but as he said: Why not refute what I just said?
Aaron Powell
>I was under the impression that Bitcoin automatically adjusted the difficulty of mining to match the networks mining power.
It is. But you see, a particular block has to be met BEFORE that difficulty adjusts. Currently it's a 2 week time period on BTC. If the mining power falls by half in the first week you'll never reach the readjustment.
Thomas Garcia
So, buy bch and eth?
Benjamin White
>China isn't communist
Get out you fucking idiot.
Yes, I'm serious, You're an absolute moron who doesn't know his ass from a hole in the ground. You're going to lose everything and you deserve it for being a massive fucking dumb shit.
Brandon Jackson
kek probably this.So easy to spot? I'm no dumb boomer investor though, I'm 35 and taught everything about stock market to myself for 4 long hard and paindful years. Then I milked dumb boomers.
Justin Morales
OP is 100% correct. 2018 will be the death of BTC and the end of the second era of crypto. From the ashes we'll see the real long term giants arise in 2019 that will change the world for decades.
Isaac Lopez
you faggots say shit like 2+2=64 like a million other retards, and expect people to not be ass holes and waste their fucking time explaining why you're wrong, well guess what - fuck you
Gavin Torres
what about litecoin? could it possibly suffer the same fate?
Anthony Rivera
smart user is smart.
Luis Hernandez
>t. triggered faggot who bought btc for 20k What is wrong? Who owns most of the btc? How much power will it consume once everybody uses it? What is it's advantage towards other shitcoins except being there in the first place? btc has a nice retroflair going, but that's about it. You don't understand what happened, do you? BTC is now controlled by the same elites and derivative pressure from fiat. Why do you think BTC jumped up just to take a head-on dive after it could easily be shorted via futures? This is the next big short, just keep hodling dumbo.
Josiah Clark
Litecoin is simply "bitcoin lite". It has the same flaws. In the short term out will probably outlast bitcoin, in the long term it will die the same death.
Michael Sullivan
But it isn't a communist country. There is a Party that is named the Communist party but their ideology and motives are not. They are more of an Authoritarian Capitalist country now...you should dig a little deeper.
t. lived in Beijing for 5 years as a business liaison for the Swiss government.
Josiah Cruz
This answers nothing, if 80% of the worlds strawberry producers suddenly stop producing the remaining 20% stand to profit even with no change to the rate at which strawberries can be produced because there is now far more demand for their product. The market may suffer as a whole but the remaining producers don't leave now that their primary competition is gone that's retarded, even if the price of strawberries was arbitrarily locked in place - which it isn't in this situation they would make the same amount of money.
The Bitcoin miners aren't paid equal to the production of the entire market they're paid equal to their own production right? So their production is still the exact same and in significantly higher demand I don't see why they would leave the market after a Chinese ban if anything it would make more sense to double down knowing that you're already making more money off higher transaction fees and once you reach the next block you'll have massively increased profits as well.
If i'm wrong about this please explain why instead of ignoring the actual issue in my comment.
Jack Miller
the smart exchanges such as Binance are keen to work with the government or spread their infrastructure in different countries incl. crypto friendly ones like Japan. The chances of all govs banning crypto exchanges are NULL.
Cooper Campbell
why can't they just fork it with a new consensus algorithm?
Liam Hernandez
>sees his first bit-coin pump and dump and thinks the world is over You're so stupid I actually thought you were the OP kek.
If you think _this_ is what the elites have just done, then you might want to get the rope for next December oh boy
Luis Sullivan
I bought at $200 but whatever fucking gekko lmfao. Why don't you google it faggot. Do you think you're really the first fucking guy to think of that?
Tyler Adams
We need bitcoin to die. It serves ZERO purpose other than something to value alts against. But OP you do have a great point, chain death is a possible, yet unlikely thing to happen. Grandpa needs to die a slow, painless death. He needs to watch his kids grow and pass on with a smile on his face. We’ll always remember him and his legacy will live on. No more suffering for grandpa, he’ll be in a better place with VHS, ask Jeeves, MySpace, and girls gone wild infomercials.
Chase Ross
>another faggot who sold at the bottom and wants another crash really bad
Kayden Lewis
>But it isn't a communist country
Ok, we're done. Absolutely 100% fucking done. There is no reasoning with idiots like you. I will not even bother to read the rest of your bullshit. If you are too stupid to realize that China is a communist nation you are literally not even worth the bandwidth it takes to type this text.
You literally don't understand how a blockchain works, do you? No, idiot, the rest of the miners do not become more profitable. If the difficulty never readjusts it becomes ever more difficult to mine.
Let me put it it simply: There are 4 trucks, each with a prerequisite destination and a 20,000 lb load.
3 trucks quit. Now 1 truck has to pull 80,000 lbs - which it is not capable of doing.
Do you get it yet?
Evan Butler
It's funny when people like OP actually think that there are others that think BTC will stay around forever. I'm more pro-btc than most, but even I'm not that delusional.
MAYBE it somehow survives as a top10 coin or something like the legacy you're talking about, but it can't stay #1, there's just no reason for it.
Jordan Hernandez
here is my prediction from 24th of december. Didi it for fun to prove I'm correct. As a category 4 investor I know many people are smarter than me, probably not you though.
Jason Campbell
exactly this. In the best case it will slowly die off and alts will react less and less to it's decline.
Josiah Cox
>3 trucks quit. Now 1 truck has to pull 80,000 lbs - which it is not capable of doing. Lol that's literally not how it works. If the hash rate halves, it will take twice the time to mine a block. It's not analogous to your example where it's impossible for the remaining truck to do anything.
Noah Murphy
So far, you're not worth listening to.
Kayden Sullivan
answer my question pajeets
Jonathan Jenkins
Hi OP, just wanted to offer that your thread sucks. Ok see ya!
Nathan Foster
But it isn't communist you fucking tard. Do your own research.