ACTUALLY HAPPENING - THIS IS NOT A DRILL

Get the fuck in here

>"What we are seeing is typical late-cycle behavior, though more exaggerated because the durations of investment assets (i.e., their sensitivities to interest rate changes) are greater," Bridgewater Associates co-chief investment officer Ray Dalio said in a LinkedIn blog post.

>Bet against oil company Total is largest shown by hedge fund

>Bridgewater Associates LP now has wagers valued at more than $14 billion that stocks will decline in the region after it disclosed a $1 billion short bet against Munich-based engineering firm Siemens AG.

>In just one week Bridgewater, the world’s biggest hedge fund firm, more than quadrupled how much it’s betting against European Union companies.

This is it, brothers. I hope you've stocked up on food and ammo. Read up on survival stories in Bolivia.

This shit is going to make the 1920's look like a holiday fucking weekend in the Hamptons.


bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-12/dalio-sees-rising-risks-of-u-s-recession-over-18-to-24-months
cnbc.com/2018/02/12/ray-dalio-risks-of-a-recession-are-rising.html
afr.com/news/world/bridgewater-investment-chief-warns-of-new-era-of-volatility-20180212-h0vxi5

Other urls found in this thread:

scribd.com/document/98379368/Max-Weber-The-Stock-Exchange
people.soc.cornell.edu/swedberg/2011 Max Weber's Central Text in Economic Sociology.pdf
seekingalpha.com/article/4144946-major-pattern-shift-occurring-bond-market
youtube.com/watch?v=7sA8hP2N61g
youtube.com/watch?v=Auv9Gnn7fyo
youtube.com/watch?v=BVqB7y2Mik4
youtu.be/Mmp6qbd7sCk
twitter.com/SFWRedditVideos

...

random; where to start, 1920s? EU companies?

go read max weber essay on the stock market instead of preparing for apocalypse;

>1920's

1930s

>max weber essay

I've never heard of it before. i'll check it out.

scribd.com/document/98379368/Max-Weber-The-Stock-Exchange

you might be right, so ill be a few extra canned tomatoes just in case; as somone once said, we're all just 4 square meals away from mayhem and apocalypse.

what survival stores in bolivia? just bolvians doing their thing? bolvia economy has been growing almost 10% past decade, almost as good as bitcoin, so their fine; still rom for much more growth with plenty of gas and lithium (basically all lithium for batteries comes from bolivia)

>Dani burger

Nothing is going to happen outside of the financial bubble, people companies producing real value are doing great. The everyday economy is all green.

Business was booming in 2007 too, then there was a very fast massive meltdown.

no it wasn't

cool. thanks man.

this one looks good, too.
people.soc.cornell.edu/swedberg/2011 Max Weber's Central Text in Economic Sociology.pdf

and Dalio seems to know his shit. if he's skeptical, so am i.

maybe i'm thinking of some place else, but i remember reading some dudes account of like a year long stay in a civil war type environment. like no toilets, trash bags were gold, roaming gangs and shit. help me out. somebody remembers this right?

>financial institutions run America
>nothing is going to happen

Hmmmmmmmmm

...

Unsurprising. I do wonder if it will take 12-24 months or if we'll see it happen within the year.

seekingalpha.com/article/4144946-major-pattern-shift-occurring-bond-market

if you guys believe the non sense from the us financial media your a complete retard. This is all set up and fake direction from real money, you think they'd EVER give you any sort of insight into their real investment thesis you are a moron. Probably just an inside joke between the big boys

this

always do the opposite of what the media says

Nope. They always warn the goys just so they can clean their conscience and say “well I tried to warn you”

Yep. Always in the 11th hour.

So what, ignore the few random warning signs that 'maybe something bad is coming'? Meaning invest long term right now?

Kek euroopoors on suicide watch

I love how these dinosaurs think that debt is going to crash the economy. Debt doesn't exist. It is literally a mental construct. All the worlds global debt are just numbers in a database. Same with most of the worlds currencies. Cryptocurrencies will obsolete all fiat debt, not through debt forgiveness but through the devaluation of fiat.

That was the most retarded post I've read on Veeky Forums in awhile.

God damn.

-t boomer

I bet you also love rising house prices as a result of mass 3rd world immigration

dude, if we just like gave everyone a million dollars everyone would be rich and we could just smoke blunts all day amirite

How does it feel like being a boomer in current America?

-millenial

"There is a whole lot of hitting the gas into capacity constraints that will lead to nominal rate rises driven by the markets,” Dalio wrote. “We are in the part of the cycle in which the central banks’ getting monetary policy right is difficult and that this time around the balancing act will be especially difficult.”

While many investors are focusing on the U.S.’s potential economic strength in 2018, “we are focusing more on 2019 and 2020 (which is the next presidential election year),” he said in today’s post. “Frankly, it seems to be inappropriate oversight to not be talking about the chances of a recession and what that recession might look like prior to the next election.”

>debt doesn't exist
Are you insane?

You're on the right track, but you're still retarded.
The REAL reason crypto will replace banks is that you cannot have a negative crypto balance.

Unlike armstrong which may just be random witch doctor ship, Dalio is in charge of the largest hedge fund in the world.

He took out a 13billion dollar short recently. And made it publicly known.

the only user with the right idea

I've had a -1 btc balance on localbitcoin once. So it is possible.

Watch, nothing's going to happen.

Doesn’t even make sense, someone will make a platform to borrow crypto

That's good insight. Right now everyone is praising that the stock market went up by a lot but with the bond rate being near 3% and the interloan bank being at an insane low, everything points to a near recession.

That's high confidence.

>Cryptocurrencies will obsolete all fiat debt, not through debt forgiveness but through the devaluation of fiat.
This is the most worrying aspect to me. I'm not gonna become a millionaire because Bitcoin suddenly grows to 500k apiece. I'm gonna become a millionaire because the dollar has entered hyperinflation as the USD dies.

Know what the best part is?

When shit caves in Donald Asshole and the Retard Party take 100% of the blame.

One hundred percent.

The resulting Blue Wave will be so fucking huge we'll literally have North Korean level socialism here.

Except instead of a fat Korean guy, we'll have Bernie, Pelosi, and Katy Perry at the head.

It will be unbearably left, ball crushingly feminist, and black lives WILL finally fucking matter.

It will bring hate speech laws and free healthcare and a lethal ego death for hypermasculine white fuckboys.

It will be the end of laissez-fairy Wolf of Wall Street style capitalism forever.

And it will be beautiful.

Literally the Second Coming without all that moralizing invisible sky cunt hocus pocus.

Look, babydicks, I know you wanted to bet big on your mememoney lottos and get stinking rich. The ugly truth is, next to none of you would ever make it.

Just man the fuck up and smile when we're living in a fairer world.

It'll be easy to stay out of the gulags if you're not a Nazi twit.

I know it will suck to give up problematic memes and hating women for a while, but fuck.

After you live under "from each according to their ability, to each according to their memes" for a few holy years, shit you always thought you hated will FINALLY make sense.

Trust me.

I'd rather race war

>To be fair, you have to have a very high IQ to understand Rick and Morty. The humour is extremely subtle, and without a solid grasp of theoretical physics most of the jokes will go over a typical viewers head. There's also Rick's nihilistic outlook, which is deftly woven into his characterisation- his personal philosophy draws heavily from Narodnaya Volya literature, for instance. The fans understand this stuff; they have the intellectual capacity to truly appreciate the depths of these jokes, to realise that they're not just funny- they say something deep about LIFE. As a consequence people who dislike Rick & Morty truly ARE idiots- of course they wouldn't appreciate, for instance, the humour in Rick's existential catchphrase "Wubba Lubba Dub Dub," which itself is a cryptic reference to Turgenevs Russian epic Fathers and Sons. I'm smirking right now just imagining one of those addlepated simpletons scratching their heads in confusion as Dan Harmon's genius wit unfolds itself on their television screens. What fools.. how I pity them.

>And yes, by the way, i DO have a Rick & Morty tattoo. And no, you cannot see it. It's for the ladies' eyes only- and even then they have to demonstrate that they're within 5 IQ points of my own (preferably lower) beforehand. Nothin personnel kid

>Debt doesn't exist
this

Use a fucking wallet sometime you jew

its funny seeing how many retards got triggered by this
the "debt" is foreign countries investing in the United States. the US has never failed to pay on a bond and if anyone tried to crash the economy, it would take them with it. countries like china need the US.

before you stupid fucks claim china is better than the US, no.
their reinvestment in our economy drastically outweighs any trade deficit. see: Japan 1980s

>HEY HEY HEY HEY HEYYYY
Yes, but you still can't have a negative wallet balance

Calm down. just doled out some mighty fine pasta.

you are so wrong it's not even funny

and I trust nobody faggot

does this mean bitcoin will prosper?

But you'll be ahead of a bunch of niggas. So you gotta do it anyway. Thats how I thought of it.

black lives will NEVER matter

youtube.com/watch?v=7sA8hP2N61g

I want to visit this place so bad er

>Know what the best part is?
youtube.com/watch?v=Auv9Gnn7fyo


>shit you always thought you hated will FINALLY make sense.


youtube.com/watch?v=BVqB7y2Mik4

Get the fuck out soyboy

>Shariablue fails yet again at memes
Pottery.

youtu.be/Mmp6qbd7sCk
HAHAHA holy shit this one.

Thanks for this user, really
WHEW

dubs checked...now, for the brainlets, explain what to do with our stocks, bonds, cash, assorted assets and crytpo for the short medium and long term.

Nice pasta commie faggot

Sell it all for cash, even the cash, and go long seed potatoes and bic lighters. You've been warned.

Bonds are past their equilibrium value at the moment, so absolutely don’t buy.. but if you’re holding, maybe try to wait a lil and milk a pop if you trust you can get out on time.

Crypto is just as speculative as ever, if big financial institutions start failing, it *will* be in bitcoins favor.. but only in the long run. Hold your coins, sell what you need to get by, and dollar cost average down if you want to buy in anytime soon.. however that is not advisable just with current levels of uncertainty. Crash incoming means keep some liquidity to jump into stocks if they become devalued to an attractive level. Keep liquidity, but Cash is your worst bet rn

Certainly reason for alarm rn, but as long as you are aware and ahead of the information, you’ll be fine user. Keep your head up and swiveled, perhaps there is even some money to be made when these bigwigs fall from grace..

>That's high confidence.
Or high arrogance.

Depends on if he's right and how sure of yourself you are doesn't make you more correct.

So how do I profit from this?

Insider here. Something huge will happen around April 2.

Short Deutsche Bank

>The house is burning
>We're all on fire
>But I'm happy because I get to blame my enemies for it
>Which I would have done anyway
>Whether it was their fault or not.

Should have said April 1st, weak b8

31 pages? Just tell me the summary

Proof?

In all seriousness mate;
Donald Trump is a salesman.
If shit comes crashing down on his watch he'll hop on the TV, and announce to the American People who is really to blame. The bankers the senate, the corrupt isreali lobby...

and he'll have them executed
and he'll crown himself emperor
and there'll be cheering of his name in the streets.

i don't know anything about bonds, but the US bonds, but the dow has been relatively stable the last 3 trading sessions - wouldn't impending doom be reflected by the movement in those trading sessions?

People are trying to tiptoe. Someone had to have sold big time Monday, Wednesday.. it’s far from over

Is this satire? I honestly can't tell

Well fuuggg.

Why is this guy betting against Europe?
In all other media/big guy reports I have read recently, the consensus seemed to be that Europe finally is getting their shit together whereas the us is fucking up, so folks are moving money from us to eu.
Why's he different?

The thing is that will never happen, things will continue to slump along. Part of me wishes that things would happen, because then we could have a civil war and finally kill all of you damn communists and actually have a respectable society again.

I'm sorry, but leftists are too busy being gay and sucking their own dicks and taking poz loads in order for them to be effective. The best your movement can hope for is to be lead by hood niggas instead of white faggots, but the sad part is the hood niggas won't have the technical know how to win, and the only ones with a modicum of intelligence will be too busy getting high on drugs and engaging in sodomy to be effective

Who is this, she's cute but she has the face of Joji

Abigail Shapiro. But fuck you, now I can't see anything but Filthy Frank with tits goddamn you

> Shorted
> Tries to convince everybody else to sell

Even worse than the fucking pajeets on biz

Cash worst? What else is there when everything else is in a bubble?

I'm thinking of staying mostly cash because a crash will likely start with devaluation of stocks and houses, both of which I wanna buy. But I'm also gonna put some money into crypto and safe stocks in case it's fiat that starts devaluing suddenly aggressively. Either way cash seems like the most flexible bet for now.

13 billion is damn high confidence. It's the equivalent of going all in on the world ending tomorrow.

man if it got this bad in the states the world is already over

we'd have fucking cannibals running the show like "the road"

would anyone even want to survive in a world like this?

seconded

>millionaire
you mean a million sats?

Yes. Fuck everything.

I'd rather not have to eat my neighbor Frank.

I appreciate this

This. You have to let people use their free will.

Balance the karmic books so to speak.

known to be fake

Nope. I reckon he’s on to something. A new financial instrument to balance the books. Crypto inflation rises and standard currency drops.

You're a fucking retard

There're such talks on biz every time the stock market drops for more than 5% for the last several years and I suppose people like you were saying "muuuh recession , murrrr durrrr apocalypse , buy canned food" every time your burger GDP dropped. Jews aren't interested in any kind of huge recession/instability/unrests. They just need to scare off normies with some "unprecedented financial crysis" just to show them afterwards that everything is under control. The antiutopian world of the future won't be the one that you're imagining - with shortage of resources, cannibals and slave trading. It will be just full of brainwashed SJW and some masterrace above them

He’ll feel hot lead in the back of his head long before (((they))) let that happen my child. Lurk Moar

i remember fondly when i was this naive.

the weak shall perrish. you are weak.
better be prepared, subhuman.

at the current rate, no.
and niggers don't even realize:
it's their own behaviour that makes them completely useless in terms of a civilized human being
>AYO WHITEY CMING FOR YOU BETTER GIT DAT ASS READY
>white man takes measures to protect himself
>AZO DAS RAZIC HOW YOU DON LET ME KILL YOULIKE A JUNGLE MAN MUH DICK MU SLAVERY

I've thought about the last part before. If you have a standing debt right now of 10000 dollars and dollars become worthless, it should be pretty easy to pay that off.

The day when user spoke truth.
/thread.