If an isolationist moment in the US leads to the collapse of NATO, a Pacific pivot and maintaining the recent American buildup in Vietnam, Singapore, and the Phillipines could still occur.
Meanwhile who knows who would profit in a Europe where NATO, the EU, and Russia are all declining. Free trade and peace between a "Europe of Nations", or conflict?
>China cont.
This isn't helped with the effects of overfishing in the SCS and a policy of containment starting to kick in. They're surrounded by powers that have no reason to cooperate with them, and the Middle Kingdom really is stuck in the middle. Vietnam's sliding into the US sphere of influence, the re-militarization of Japan, and South Korean refusal to listen to them until they withdraw their support for the North puts them in a tricky situation. And then there's the headaches of Xianjing and civil unrest caused by economic difficulties alongside a massive non-working population. They're really at a tipping point all thing's considered. And the scales are tipping towards war to force the world to recognize them as a true great power.
>Russia
If anything, Russia is actually poised for a comeback if it can weather the storm the next couple of years are going to bring to the table. A transition into a post-Putin political system might be tricky, but I'm confident they can manage it. While isolated from the rest of Europe, they have an opportunity to really expand influence into the caucus regions, what with Turkey being in a state of civil war between the Kemalists and Edrogan's mobs. However, the failed intervention in Syria cost them a lot in terms of potentially finding another ally in the middle east.
With Assad having been ousted, the civil war entered a second phase, one between the hardline Islamists and the more moderate rebels, and neither were going to ask for Russian help considering the airstrkes and support to the deposed regime. And with the Islamists coming out on top, things are going to get pretty interesting in the Middle East, especially with an independent Kurdistan holding a good chunk of former Syrian territory...
All in all though, Russia doesn't want to directly screw with eastern europe. It's just not worth it, especially when what they'd gain is just the Baltic States at best.
For a twist on this you could have two separate Cold Wars: US vs Entente (nationalist regimes in Europe and Russia) with India and China not caring, and China v India without disrupting Western access to Pacific Rim markets.
>more moderate rebels
Citation needed. Moderate Moslems are clearly mythical creatures existing the realm of magical thinking alongside Unicorns and Big Foot. So far, all we've seen in Syria are ISIS or Islamist militias who clearly sympathize with or are silent on the Islamic State (and as we all know, silence implies consent). And the only reason why the intervention failed was due to Obongo protecting his Moslem bruthaz by fucking threatening to start WWIII.
The Syrian Civil War would've been over in months if Obongo didn't get asshurt and force the only superpower who gave a fuck to withdraw.
In that case I'd look at a strong France and surprisingly enough, Poland. Germany would be an economic power still, but there's no doubt that those two hold the military muscle there.
>Eurofaggotry
With NATO pretty much looking on at the Turkish situation with no real desire to get involved in that clusterfuck, Greece sees a chance to potentially get back Istanbul. However thankfully for everyone who hates the clusterfuck of the Byzantines, Greece is entirely irrelevant.
The United Kingdom gets hit hard by the aftershocks of Brexit. Economically hamstrung and unable to negotiate to keep their privileges they got while in the EU, they grudgingly rejoin it within two decades sans exemptions. France and Germany's supposed 'Eurabia' problem pretty much becomes a non-issue as soon as the second generation starts getting out there, and as refugees either get deported back to the 'peaceful' Islamic Republic of Syria or go back willingly, thinking everything has settled down.
Ironically enough, the nation in Europe that experienced the biggest swing in fortunes? Poland! An expansion of their Baltic fleet, military capabilities, and EU investment pretty much lead to a Polish-Franco-German powerbloc in the EU, with poor old Belgium left in the cold alongside the UK. All in all though, Europe remains pretty calm despite the occasional terrorist attack.
Here's your (You)
Update: aha! Nothing has changed. Stick to writing RPG settings. Tumblr and /pol/ bullshit isn't your forte Veeky Forums.
>Middle East
The clusterfuck continues. Turkey ends up in a civil war, with the Kemalists eventually pulling out a win and executing Edrogan after a civil war. The entire country goes pretty hyper secular, looking at the newly formed Islamic Republic of Syria with concern, and hostility. There isn't a Kurdish problem for them at all, after most of them seeing the potential for genocide during the civil war taking the opportunity to hop the border into the newly established Kurdistan.
Kurdistan is the really really new nation on the Middle Eastern stage, and it probably wouldn't exist at all if it wasn't for the firm support of the US for them, and surprisingly enough, Israel. Formed from Northern Iraq, and a large amount of North Eastern Syria, Kurdistan's independence may be short lived. The Iraqi rump state towards Kuwait is firmly under Iranian control by this point, and no matter how fierce the Kurd's might be the Iranians heavily outnumber them. Then there's the Syrians to worry about to the west, and potentially the Turks to the north.
>India
Imagine now, but with more people and even shittier. They're on the road for civil war and/or getting gangbanged by China and Pakistan, with nobody else giving a shit about what happens to the Curries.
>Japan
Remilitarization helps a bit, but they'll never be a major great power ever again, and the birthrate issue causes an economic slowdown before thing's stabilize again. All in all though, they don't have it too bad, what with VR Waifus starting to take off.
And that's about all I can think of that'd really matter.
Poland is supposedly Technically Capable of nuclear weapons (able to produce them within 1-2 years) according to the Wikipedia article listing nations by military equipment level (they cited this article but you can only get the citation file and not read the full report: dx.doi.org
Regardless of any other predictions, it's pretty obvious the EU will eventually collapse. Social democratic mass-immigration states vs former Soviet-bloc (especially V4) right-wing authoritarian states does not tend to make a great lasting alliance. It's a bit of a wonder the UK and France got along for as long as they did, especially in light of de Gaulle's Cold Way third pillar shit.
The main question is just whether Russia or the US keeps it as a virtual vassal state, and equally importantly: what happens to Turkey?
Tumblr-tards love to bash /pol/, while being too stupid to actually go there for discussion of politics.
Political discussion belongs in /pol/, not Veeky Forums.