Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others...
Kevin Reyes
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Anthony Kelly
420
Christian Gutierrez
no. you have a 50/50 chance either way. if you switch you will only feel bad for not going with your gut instinct
Isaiah Flores
...
Lincoln Powell
It depends. How much is the goat worth? How much is the car worth? Do I have the necessary financial sums to afford the taxes on the car or the goat? Does my current living situation benefit more from a car or from a goat? Can I choose not to pick a door and leave the game show entirely?
Brody Lewis
>host knows
no difference
Kevin Gomez
Imagine it like this. There are 100 doors, 99 goats and 1 car.
You pick a door and the host opens all but one door. All of them are goats, because the host knew. Of course it would be better to switch to the one that the host did not open. Because the chance of the car being among the 99 that you didn't pick is way higher than it being the one you picked.
Evan Cook
Yes, pick the door with the exposed goat, then you can have milk
Angel Cooper
>keep door
>2/3 of famous goat
Henry Reyes
this topic is so much fun to discuss on /v/