Likely hood of extra solar object U1 to be an extra terrestrial craft

We've all probably heard of A/2017 U1, the long thin extra solar object that recently passed the solar system.
My question is, what is the likely hood of such a strangely shaped asteroid passing the solar system by when there's an advanced civilization here?
I mean not only is it statistically very rare, an asteroid shaped like a cylinder, but then how rare is it that any such object would pass through a solar system and not just any solar system, a solar system with an advanced civilization?
Its not like we can get a high resolution photo of it or a high resolution radar topographical image of it.
also, we spotted it when it was fairly close to the solar system, it could have just appeared there instead of traveling a long ways, wormhole, warp, fusion drive(slowed down but still basically instant vs regular travel), or something else.
It wouldnt be a colonization ship from it's size but could maybe be a seed ship or a reconnaissance craft.
I know this is all speculation but i would like answers to the above questions.
statistical occurrence of asteroids shaped like it and statistical likely hood of any solar system having an extra solar object enter it.

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youtube.com/watch?v=SeIJmciN8mo
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*likelihood*
apparently likely is spelled with a y but likelihood with an l, im just going to ignore auto correct and use likelyhood.

Well it is rotating at a very fast speed which means its arrival at the solar system was anything from planned.

Oh no, a rock in a shape I wasn't expecting is flying through space near our planet. It must be extraterrestrials or a message from god.

Yeah, a rock with a shape thats very rare, apparently flying in from deep space(also very rare), flying into a solar system with an advanced civilization which is again extremely rare.

Having seen this one and now knowing what to look for, they estimate Sol System gets maybe half a dozen a year. Wait and see.
Insufficient sample size to make any conclusions about shape.
I believe the reflection-spectra looks like rock. Polished hull metal would be entirely different.

If it's a recon ship, it's a particularly poor one. It didn't come anywhere near Earth. Its hypothetical makers could have aimed it to pass within the Moon's orbit and get detailed photos -- and we couldn't have done a thing about it.

There are at least two other threads running currently on Veeky Forums on this same subject. One had over a hundred posts last time I looked. Try reading that before asking further questons.

1 turn in 7.3 hours is NOT "rotating very fast". If it's 400 meters long and tumbling end-over-end, centripetal acceleration at the tips is 1.16e-6 Earth gravities.

This isn't a fugitive from an Arthur Clarke novel..

How fast? could be to generate artificial gravity or an unknown design purpose.

Didnt think there would be threads for this given this story is a little old. Also, if its a reconnaissance craft you wouldn't want the people youre observing to know youre observing them. same reason why it looks like a rock, if it had a metal hull we would certainly know its a craft and just a space rock.

We're fucked.

Relativistic bombing when?

Get in here Because somewhat relevant.

404d

i recently started to roll joints like that
i think its a message

All the threads are headed with the same image. (What else is there to use?)

Don't worry about a subject being "old". People on Veeky Forums keep arguing about whether the Earth is flat, if there's an Afterlife, or whether climate change is real.
This place isn't exactly "cutting edge". :(

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R A M A
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What data compels you to believe this is a rare occurrence in other solar systems, let alone a solar system with an "advanced civilization?

uh because its the first documented case of one and there are very few cylindrical shaped asteroids in our system so for one to enter this one(any is already rare) is extremely suspect.

>R A M A

STARSHIPS
youtube.com/watch?v=SeIJmciN8mo

Absolute bullshit. 1. Anyonewho picks up rocks a lot will tell you that spindle shapes are not uncommon. 2. Not nearly as rare as you state. 3. So you're an expert on advanced civilizations, are you? Good to know, dimwit.

You are retarded. What if there's a solar system out there where 20 of these fly by a planet every other week? You would never be able to know that because the sample size of solar systems where we can observe any asteroids is literally 1. Not to mention the fact we already have a difficult enough time finding asteroids due to what they are composed of so for all god knows there can be dozens of these orbiting within our solar system.

Just like the lights on Ceres... nothing
Just like the dyson sphere planet.... nothing
Just like everything they ever go on about... nothing!

Do some history faget long ships have come here before

Forget about whether or not this is a spacecraft, could it be turned into one?

As someone above says, the ends are spinning about 1 g. Well, thats artificial gravity.
What if we took an asteroid like this, for example the asteroid named Eros, and spun it up in the same way. The ends could be 1 g, and the asteroid could be moved around the solar system as a sort of slow-boat cargo ship. Full time crew which doesn't get weak from antigravity.

>warp out on the outskirts of some random unexplored system on outbound trajectory as per regular protocol
>oh fuck there's a civilization advanced enough to see us
>tfw noninterference law
>spend months in free flight pretending to be a normal rock until far enough for them to not detect us warping away

No.
First: the poster said about a millionth of a g, not 1 g.
Second: we can't catch up to it.
Third: spinning up Eros is fine and all, but accelerating it to escape velocity is an entirely different matter.

There is a shit ton of asteroids out there, so the odds that one is oddly shaped is practically 100%, and the odds that an extra solar object passes through any solar system is also practically 100%. For the milky way, it is possible that it will be harder to find a system without any extra solar objects in it than it will be to find one with an extra solar object.

The reason this is the first extra solar object we've seen isn't because they are super duper rare, but because we suck at finding them (mostly because they are really hard to see and we are new to this whole finding small things in space).

no man no
it's rare you fuck, lrn2vastnessofspace
astronomy is the oldest fucking science

All improbable events we observe are conditioned on our existence, so that we can observe it. So statements about how improbable it is for such a thing to happen in our vicinity are meaningless. All probabilities are implicitly conditional probabilities for this reason.

It is estimated to happen several times a year in our solar system alone, and because it takes more than 1 year for an object to enter and leave or system, that would mean there are always multiple extra solar objects passing through our solar system always.

This is also likely the case for every system in the milky way that is in any of the spirals or other major formations of stars (aka stuff) in our galaxy and any galaxy. Sure, in the border regions or the more empty space between the arms of the milky way this is likely different (cuz there is less stuff there), but there are also far fewer systems there. So it is likely the majority of solar systems have extra solar objects passing through the vast majority of the time.

Until we can sample other solar systems we won't be able to do anything other than extrapolate what we know about our own system.

The reason this is the first extra solar object we've found is because they are hard to find, not because they are exceptionally rare.

It is ammunition from a mass-driver weapon. This time, it missed us. Next time?

this
this board is filled with 70 IQ retards

First you need to understand one little thing : We, Humanity, are literally children when we talk about science. It's been since 50-60 years that our science begin to look serious (and it depend of what science are we talking, biology is still at the begining of the begining).

We can't classify what is natural or not when you saw only a tiny percentage of our universe.

We can only judge with what we know. And we know nothing.

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if it was spinning furiously
then probably this changed its trajectory after passing the sun

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>implying humanity is an advanced civilization

Meh you don't need highly polished, just mass.

Also it could be pest control. Enough mass in that region to just start dropping Shoemaker–Levys' on us without needing a close approach.

>When you hear hooves, assume unicorns.

Anybody have an idea on what NASSA is going to announce today?

unrelated: youtube.com/watch?time_continue=45&v=YQAjE3P-U-8

Clearly the Annunaki from Nibiru have sent this preliminary probe ahead. They are returning...

Wow, someone got triggered.

"It's going to be alright user"

*He just gets angry when his little mind encounters things he can't grasp*

God's long lost dildo?

Hopefully a asteroid the size of mars will collide with us at 3% C.

Baby C'thulhu poop

just cats and dogs

Dude they are rare because they are hard to find and we dont have a massive network of telescopes combing the solar system like that guy in spaceballs.

Jesus christ you are retarded, go back to your singularity cult and stop shitting up this board.