So how hard is this going to fail?

So how hard is this going to fail?

It might not!

why would it fail in the first stage? I feel like that part should go smoothly. Jettisoning the three first stage rockets could present some trouble, but if they are all successfully separate without hitting each other, why wouldn't they all three land? Yeah it could spectacularly fail, but it is far from assured to happen

It will proooooobably be fine until max q, which is where it's going to get dicey. Will it develop unforeseen harmonics from the buffeting that rips apart the struts? Will the shockwave cause stresses and conditions that trigger the automatic flight termination? Will the boosters separate correctly, or will they get sucked back into the center core? Will the boosters be able to avoid each other if they separate cleanly? Will their avoidance cause issues with landing? Will the center core be able to survive re-entry after staging so high and fast? Maybe. It'll be fun no matter what though.

This. An explosion on the pad, although big, would result in us missing out on all the fun stuff that could go wrong starting at max-q. I hope it gets off the pad. After that, if it does fail, I at least hope they get more than enough data to deal with the problem quickly

>So how hard is this going to fail?
If it does then james webb is gonna burn.

It's not, atleast not on the launch pad. Musk would never risk blowing up 39A because of the prestige and historical value that comes with it; as well as it's crucial role in the commercial crew program.

But I thought they were using Ariane 5 for that

That's the joke. That if SpaceX can't do it then NASA has no hope given all the delays and problems with their stuff.

This. The biggest risk is that it will shake apart just after max Q.

I find it extremely pathetic how some anons talk about it's failure like they clearly wish it to happen, and how they talk condescendingly about Musk or SpaceX or Tesla.

What is your problem? Are you jealous of Musk or something? The guy is one of the very few people who have the means and willingness to further our knowledge and advance humanity beyond the Earth yet people just can't stop talking shit about him and his enterprises.

none of that matters because the people that like him also seem to use a particular website that I don't care for

A lot of famous silicon valley types secretly use Veeky Forums, but they can't talk about it because of the normie backlash. Think about it: Veeky Forums is the most influential place on the internet. This website now controls internet culture, some real-life culture, the presidency of the United States, and now even financial markets thanks to crypto.

Off yourself, retard.

nice headcanon

my money is on partial failure in recovering one of the boosters and decently likelihood of long term commercial failure, given SpaceX's meager profits and the failure of Tesla

D+ grade pasta, needs work

it won't burn, but it'll be launched 20 degrees off course :)

>yet people just can't stop talking shit about him and his enterprises.
because he has a history of promising more than he can deliver, see the hypermeme
evem Tesla Motors, which is far more practical is a commercial failure

you know Veeky Forums is the #67 site in the USA? It ain't small anymore

>you know Veeky Forums is the #67 site in the USA
while this is, sadly, true that doesn't mean that there are silicon valley types on here

any ass hole can send a camera close to space with a balloon why is it you smart fucks have to do things the hardest way?

I hope not at all. I'm gonna be there to watch it go if it goes on time. Seen a couple shuttle launches and an early Falcon 9 1.0 launch and hope this one goes too.

Suppose it happens. What's next?

The Tesla lands on Bezos's house?

Why are Americans putting their flag everywhere?

You can talk shit about Elon and SpaceX all you want, but their technology is light years head of retards like NASA and Ariane.

>t. Dirty Communist
Don't you love your country?

>implying the great Satan can be loved

Whatever happens it's going to be exciting.

Can someone explain the Martian orbit that it's aiming for?

It will be in a solar orbit with a perihelion near Earth's orbit, and an aphelion near Mars' orbit. It won't actually get near Mars itself though.
I guess they figured out the precession and such to put it in an orbit so it won't eventually crash into Earth or Mars, but I don't know the specific orbit.

>SpaceX now launches Tesla-filled ICBMs against any competition in the rocketry market
That would be one hell of a world