What if every probability is just 50/50 (either it happens or it don't) and the coins just happened to flip the way they did so that this proposition seems ridiculous? It's not even that unlikely, the opposite is just 50%.
What if every probability is just 50/50 (either it happens or it don't) and the coins just happened to flip the way...
Jose Perez
Leo Brown
what if everyone except you is actually mentally retarded but all them jst happen to move and think randomly in the ways that they would seem functioning
Levi Edwards
Yeah but what are the odds of that
Chase Moore
50/50
Ryder Allen
Toss a die.
Either a "1" comes up or it doesn't. 50%
Either a "2" comes up or it doesn't. 50%
Either a "3" comes up or it doesn't. 50%
Either a "4" comes up or it doesn't. 50%
Either a "5" comes up or it doesn't. 50%
Either a "6" comes up or it doesn't. 50%
Probability you don't understand probability 100%
Kevin Ward
>Probability you don't understand probability 100%
Wrong. He other does or doesn't.
Juan Jackson
Wrong. Events in the past are no longer probabilistic.
Did the Sun rise yesterday? If "yes", probability of it having done so is 100%.
Did the OP demonstrate brainlet-ness. Clearly "yes", so it's now 100% certain.
Works the other way too. Probability of the Yankees winning LAST year's World Series is 0%.
Charles Gray
but you can model probabilistic systems! Given the information we had yesterday what probability would we assign to the sun rising?
Asher Garcia
Statistics are the second best thing to predict the future other than "laws."
Josiah Butler
Obviously 50%
This is a good argument of OP original case.